THE EFFECT OF INDUSTRIAL VALUE ADDED, ENERGY CONSUMPTION, FOOD CROP PRODUCTION, AND AIR TEMPERATURE ON GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS IN INDONESIA: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS APPROACH
Abstract
Air quality and global warming, which cause climate change and affect many aspects of human life, have become important topics in recent years. The objective of this study is to assess the influence of greenhouse gas emissions on industrial added value, energy consumption, food crop production, and air temperature in Indonesia. The period covered is 1990–2022. The Granger causality test and the vector error correction model are employed to establish the causal connection between the variables, and the unit root test is used to confirm the data’s stationarity. The study’s findings demonstrate that, over the long run, greenhouse gas emissions in Indonesia are known to be positively impacted by energy use, crop output, and temperature. Short-term analysis shows that air temperature has a negative impact on greenhouse gas emissions in Indonesia, but the added value of industry, energy consumption, and food crop output have a favorable impact. In light of the study’s findings, it is anticipated to serve as the foundation for the Indonesian government’s deliberations when implementing the required policies to lower greenhouse gas emissions, while still paying attention to the added value in the industrial sector as well as a basis for determining other policies. In addition, controlling fossil energy consumption must also be actively carried out by intensifying the use of renewable fuels.
Keywords: Greenhouse gases, Industrial value added, Energy consumption, Food crop production, Air temperature, VECM
Full Text:
PDFReferences
Abbass, K., Qasim, M. Z., Song, H., Murshed, M., Mahmood, H., & Younis, I. (2022). A review of the global climate change impacts, adaptation, and sustainable mitigation measures. In Environmental Science and Pollution Research (Vol. 29, Issue 28, pp. 42539–42559). Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-19718-6
Akpan, U. F., & Akpan, G. E. (2012). The Contribution of Energy Consumption to Climate Change: A Feasible Policy Direction. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 2(1), 21–33. www.econjournals.com
Antonakakis, N., Chatziantoniou, I., & Filis, G. (2017). Energy consumption, CO2 emissions, and economic growth: An ethical dilemma. In Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews (Vol. 68, pp. 808–824). Elsevier Ltd. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2016.09.105
Benali, N., & Feki, R. (2020). Evaluation of the relationship between freight transport, energy consumption, economic growth and greenhouse gas emissions: the VECM approach. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 22(2), 1039–1049. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-018-0232-x
Chambers, J. Q., Fisher, J. I., Zeng, H., Chapman, E. L., Baker, D. B., & Hurtt, G. C. (2007). Hurricane Katrina’s carbon footprint on U.S. Gulf Coast forests. In Science (Vol. 318, Issue 5853, p. 1107). https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1148913
Demetrio, W. C., Conrado, A. C., Acioli, A. N. S., Ferreira, A. C., Bartz, M. L. C., James, S. W., da Silva, E., Maia, L. S., Martins, G. C., Macedo, R. S., Stanton, D. W. G., Lavelle, P., Velasquez, E., Zangerlé, A., Barbosa, R., Tapia-Coral, S. C., Muniz, A. W., Santos, A., Ferreira, T., … Cunha, L. (2021). A “Dirty” Footprint: Macroinvertebrate diversity in Amazonian Anthropic Soils. Global Change Biology, 27(19), 4575–4591. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15752
Dogan, E., & Seker, F. (2016). Determinants of CO2 emissions in the European Union: The role of renewable and non-renewable energy. Renewable Energy, 94, 429–439. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2016.03.078
Engle, R. F., & Grangeri, C. W. J. (1987). Co-Integration And Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, And Testing. In Source: Econometrica (Vol. 55, Issue 2).
Godish, T., 2004. Air Quality, Lewis Publishers, A CRC Press Company, London.
Harris, J. M., & Roach, B. (2021). Environmental and Natural Resource Economics A Contemporary Approach Third Edition.
Harum, N. S., Aini, M., Risxi, M. A., & Kartiasih, F. (2023). Pengaruh Sosial Ekonomi dan Kesehatan terhadap Pengeluaran Konsumsi Pangan Rumah Tangga Provinsi Jawa Tengah Tahun 2020. Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2023, Vol.1 2023, 899–908. https://doi.org/10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2023i1.1919
Hashimoto, K., Kumagai, N., Izumiya, K., Takano, H., Shinomiya, H., Sasaki, Y., Yoshida, T., & Kato, Z. (2016). The use of renewable energy in the form of methane via electrolytic hydrogen generation using carbon dioxide as the feedstock. Applied Surface Science, 388, 608–615. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apsusc.2016.02.130
Hawari, R., & Kartiasih, F. (2017). Kajian Aktivitas Ekonomi Luar Negeri Indonesia Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Periode 1998-2014. Media Statistika, 9(2), 119. https://doi.org/10.14710/medstat.9.2.119-132
Jia, N., Gao, X., An, H., Sun, X., Jiang, M., Liu, X., & Liu, D. (2020). Identifying key sectors based on cascading effect along paths in the embodied CO2 emission flow network in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(14), 17138–17151. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-08217-1
Jian, J., Fan, X., He, P., Xiong, H., & Shen, H. (2019). The effects of energy consumption, economic growth and financial development on CO2 emissions in China: A VECM approach. Sustainability (Switzerland), 11(18). https://doi.org/10.3390/su11184850
Juliansyah, H., Ganesha, Y., Nailufar, F., & Terfiadi, S. Y. (2022). Effect of Export Import and Investment on Economic Growth in Indonesia (VECM Analysis Method). In Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics (Vol. 05).
Kabange, N. R., Kwon, Y., Lee, S.-M., Kang, J.-W., Cha, J.-K., Park, H., Dzorkpe, G. D., Shin, D., Oh, K.-W., & Lee, J.-H. (2023). Mitigating Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Crop Production and Management Practices, and Livestock: A Review. Sustainability, 15(22), 15889. https://doi.org/10.3390/su152215889
Kapica, J., Pawlak, H., & Ścibisz, M. (2015). Carbon dioxide emission reduction by heating poultry houses from renewable energy sources in Central Europe. Agricultural Systems, 139, 238–249. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2015.08.001
Kartiasih, F., Rizky Ramadhani, A., Anisya Fitri, K., & Aselnino, P. (2022). Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Volume Impor Jagung Indonesia dari Lima Negara Eksportir Terbesar tahun 2009-2021. INOVASI: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan Dan Manajemen, 18(4), 936–946.
Kartiasih, F., & Setiawan, A. (2019). Efisiensi Teknis Usaha Tani Padi di Provinsi Kepulauan Bangka Belitung. Analisis Kebijakan Pertanian, 17(2), 139. https://doi.org/10.21082/akp.v17n2.2019.139-148
Kartiasih, F., & Setiawan, A. (2020). Aplikasi Error Correction Mechanism Dalam Analisis Dampak Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Konsumsi Energi dan Perdagangan Internasional Terhadap Emisi CO2 di Indonesia. Media Statistika, 13(1), 104–115. https://doi.org/10.14710/medstat.13.1.104-115
Kartiasih, F., Syaukat, Y., & Anggraeni, L. (2012). The determinants of energy intensity in Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan Indonesia, 12(2), 192–214. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJOEM-01-2020-0048
Kenny, T., & Gray, N. F. (2009). Comparative performance of six carbon footprint models for use in Ireland. Environmental Impact Assessment Review, 29(1), 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eiar.2008.06.001
Li, S., Zhou, C., & Wang, S. (2019). Does modernization affect carbon dioxide emissions? A panel data analysis. Science of the Total Environment, 663, 426–435.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.01.373
Muliana, M., Azhari, M., & Santoso, A. I. (2021). Evaluasi Gas Rumah Kaca (CH₄) dari Sektor Peternakan di Kelurahan Kalampangan. Media Ilmiah Teknik Lingkungan, 6(2), 52–58. https://doi.org/10.33084/mitl.v6i2.2369
Murawska, A., & Goryńska-Goldmann, E. (2023). Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the Agricultural and Industrial Sectors—Change Trends, Economic Conditions, and Country Classification: Evidence from the European Union. Agriculture, 13(7), 1354. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture13071354
Nam, E., Kishan, S., Baldauf, R. W., Fulper, C. R., Sabisch, M., & Warila, J. (2010b). Temperature effects on particulate matter emissions from light-duty, gasoline-powered motor vehicles. Environmental Science and Technology, 44(12), 4672–4677. https://doi.org/10.1021/es100219q
Ningsih, Y. P., & Kartiasih, F. (2019). Dampak Guncangan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Mitra Dagang Utama terhadap Indikator Makroekonomi Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 16(1), 78–92. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.31849/jieb.v16i1.2307
Pertiwi, I. P., Camalia, N. D., Rega, R., & Kartiasih, F. (2023). Mencermati Pengaruh Utang dan Variabel Makroekonomi terhadap Sustainabilitas Fiskal di Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 20(2), 185–193. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.31849/jieb.v20i2.12259
Pinontoan, O. R., Sumampouw, O. J., Ticoalu, J. H. V., Nelwan, J. E., Musa, E. C., & Sekeeon, J. (2022). The variability of temperature, rainfall, humidity and prevalance of dengue fever in Manado City. Bali Medical Journal, 11(1), 81–86. https://doi.org/10.15562/bmj.v11i1.2722
Prado-Lorenzo, J. M., Rodríguez-Domínguez, L., Gallego-Álvarez, I., & García-Sánchez, I. M. (2009). Factors influencing the disclosure of greenhouse gas emissions in companies world-wide. Management Decision, 47(7), 1133–1157. https://doi.org/10.1108/00251740910978340
Pribadi, W., & Kartiasih, F. (2020). Environmental Quality and Poverty Assessment in Indonesia. Jurnal Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam Dan Lingkungan (Journal of Natural Resources and Environmental Management), 10(1), 89–97. https://doi.org/10.29244/jpsl.10.1.89-97
Rehman, A., Ma, H., Ahmad, M., Irfan, M., Traore, O., & Chandio, A. A. (2021). Towards environmental Sustainability: Devolving the influence of carbon dioxide emission to population growth, climate change, Forestry, livestock and crops production in Pakistan. Ecological Indicators, 125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107460
Si, R., Aziz, N., & Raza, A. (2021a). Short and long-run causal effects of agriculture, forestry, and other land use on greenhouse gas emissions: evidence from China using VECM approach. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(45), 64419–64430. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-15474-1
Si, R., Aziz, N., & Raza, A. (2021b). Short and long-run causal effects of agriculture, forestry, and other land use on greenhouse gas emissions: evidence from China using VECM approach. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(45), 64419–64430. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-15474-1
Sims, C. A., Stock, J. H., & Watson1, M. W. (1990). INFERENCE IN LINEAR TIME SERIES MODELS WITH SOME UNIT ROOTS. In Econometrica (Vol. 58, Issue 1).
Snyder, C. S., Bruulsema, T. W., Jensen, T. L., & Fixen, P. E. (2009). Review of greenhouse gas emissions from crop production systems and fertilizer management effects. In Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment (Vol. 133, Issues 3–4, pp. 247–266). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2009.04.021
Tongwane, M., Mdlambuzi, T., Moeletsi, M., Tsubo, M., Mliswa, V., & Grootboom, L. (2016). Greenhouse gas emissions from different crop production and management practices in South Africa. Environmental Development, 19, 23–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envdev.2016.06.004
Tubiello, F. N., Rosenzweig, C., Conchedda, G., Karl, K., Gütschow, J., Xueyao, P., Obli-Laryea, G., Wanner, N., Qiu, S. Y., Barros, J. De, Flammini, A., Mencos-Contreras, E., Souza, L., Quadrelli, R., Heioarsdóttir, H. H., Benoit, P., Hayek, M., & Sandalow, D. (2021). Greenhouse gas emissions from food systems: Building the evidence base. Environmental Research Letters, 16(6). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac018e
Wang, Q., & Wang, S. (2019). Decoupling economic growth from carbon emissions growth in the United States: The role of research and development. Journal of Cleaner Production, 234, 702–713. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2019.06.174
Wang, X., Huang, C., & Zou, Z. (2016). The analysis of energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions of a large-scale commercial building in Shanghai, China. Advances in Mechanical Engineering, 8(2), 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1177/1687814016628395
Wardana, A. P., Rahmawati, I. I., Dzunnurain, Z. A., & Kartiasih, F. (2023). Determinan Skor Pola Pangan Harapan di Indonesia Tahun 2022. Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2023, Vol.1 2023, 889–898. https://doi.org/10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2023i1.1912
World Bank Group, & Asian Development Bank. (2021). Climate Risk Country Profile: Indonesia. World Bank
Yusuf, A. M., Abubakar, A. B., & Mamman, S. O. (2020). Relationship between greenhouse gas emission, energy consumption, and economic growth: evidence from some selected oil-producing African countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(13), 15815–15823. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-08065-z
Zhang, X., & Ren, J. (2011). The relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and industrial structure adjustment for Shandong Province. Energy Procedia, 5, 1121–1125. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2011.03.197
Zhou, S., Gan, W., Liu, A., Jiang, X., Shen, C., Wang, Y., Yang, L., & Lin, Z. (2023). Natural Gas–Electricity Price Linkage Analysis Method Based on Benefit–Cost and Attention–VECM Model. Energies, 16(10). https://doi.org/10.3390/en16104155
Ziabakhsh-Ganji, Z., & Kooi, H. (2014). Sensitivity of Joule-Thomson cooling to impure CO2 injection in depleted gas reservoirs. Applied Energy, 113, 434–451. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2013.07.059
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.37159/jpa.v26i1.3876
Refbacks
- There are currently no refbacks.
Karya ini dilisensikan di bawah Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License .
E-ISSN 2528-1488; P-ISSN 1411-0172